Stan Kaplan,Ph.D., is an engineer and applied mathematician.Until recently he was Vice President and Chief Scientist of PLG inc., a leading consulting firm in the discipline known as Quantitative Risk Assessment (QRA).Stan was one of the early practitioners of this discipline and a major contributor to its theory,language,philosophy,and methodology.Within this discipline,his main teaching is what he calls the “evidence based”approach,as opposed to an opinion,personality,or politics based approach to risk assessment and decision making.
The evidence based approach is made possible by a mathematical principle called “Bayes Theorem,”which he describes as “not only the fundamental law of logical inference,but actually the very definition of logic.It is what we mean by logical,rational thinking.”Stan is one of the founders of a company,Bayesian Systems Inc.,that provides software and training in applications of this theorem.
Stan is one of the first American scientists to become interested in the Russian theory of inventive thinking,TRIZ, In addition to its evident practical value,what attracted him to this theory was the thought that “just as the structure of logical thinking is the same whatever we’re thinking about,might it also be true that the structure of creative thinking is the same,whether one is thinking about engineering inventions,business strategies,political and social organization,pure science,or even artistic expression? And,if so,could this structure be identified,abstracted,and taught to people of varied backgrounds and ages,including childen?
This thought drove him to try to understand “What makes TRIZ work?”The result is the paper you have in your hand.IDEATION Inc.hopes you enjoy it,profit from it,and come back for more